Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008916 0.010585 0.012615 0.015310 0.018863 0.023494 0.030172
2025-04-27 0.006952 0.008955 0.011701 0.015899 0.022479 0.033053 0.053001
2025-05-04 0.005758 0.007796 0.010807 0.015869 0.024856 0.041899 0.082858
2025-05-11 0.004974 0.006986 0.010131 0.015823 0.027030 0.051680 0.127346
2025-05-18 0.004334 0.006251 0.009376 0.015363 0.028164 0.060133 0.184408
2025-05-25 0.003785 0.005566 0.008557 0.014536 0.028163 0.065924 0.248129
2025-06-01 0.003384 0.005061 0.007956 0.013971 0.028532 0.073256 0.347448
2025-06-08 0.003172 0.004844 0.007827 0.014333 0.031363 0.091633 0.633835
2025-06-15 0.002930 0.004541 0.007488 0.014152 0.032681 0.106362 1.075062
2025-06-22 0.002656 0.004154 0.006932 0.013351 0.031877 0.111284 1.501694
2025-06-29 0.002510 0.003979 0.006770 0.013451 0.033956 0.134144 3.384164
2025-07-06 0.002417 0.003894 0.006774 0.013958 0.037712 0.175305 14.953745
2025-07-13 0.002338 0.003840 0.006868 0.014828 0.043887 0.259998 25305.771908
2025-07-20 0.002235 0.003732 0.006836 0.015383 0.049543 0.378799 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002104 0.003555 0.006623 0.015354 0.052702 0.500020 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001988 0.003394 0.006422 0.015310 0.055905 0.669838 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001861 0.003200 0.006119 0.014870 0.056711 0.814237 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001728 0.002982 0.005734 0.014078 0.054986 0.877509 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001620 0.002810 0.005441 0.013538 0.054538 1.006935 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001568 0.002748 0.005411 0.013884 0.060257 1.651486 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001494 0.002637 0.005244 0.013711 0.062369 2.284603 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001400 0.002474 0.004930 0.012944 0.059511 2.340431 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001351 0.002406 0.004853 0.013040 0.063608 3.885659 NaN